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Boys basketball bubble watch

Posted by on January 28, 2013 – 1:30 pm

It’s the last week of the regular season for boys basketball. Twenty-four teams make the state tournaments, with each sectional semifinalist securing an automatic bid, joined by 12 at-large teams with the highest power point rankings. Here is a look at the teams closest to the bubble as the regular season comes to a close.

Division I boys
Highland (21): The Hawks are 10-5 in power point contests and have games against Red Mountain, Brophy and Basha remaining. Highland is certainly a playoff-caliber team but power point losses to Basha and Mesquite have made this a tense final week.

Desert Vista (24):  The Thunder is 10-7 in power point games, although the team’s most recent win against Maricopa hasn’t been calculated, which should give it a small boost. Desert Vista ends the season with a huge showdown against Mountain Pointe. It is unlikely to make the sectional tournament, so the finale may be a must-win.

Perry (29): The Pumas have a solid 10-6 power point record, but will need a great finish to have a shot at the postseason. Perry has lost four power point games by four points or less and plays Desert Ridge and Hamilton to close out the regular season. A sweep is essential.

Mesquite (30): The Wildcats are only 6-10 in power point games, but Division I’s third-toughest strength of schedule has them with an outside chance of making the playoffs. Mesquite has a pair of winnable games against Basha and Desert Ridge to close out the regular season, so it needs to take care of business in those and then hope for the best.

Division II
Tempe (18):
The Buffaloes are 12-4 and seem to be in good position to qualify for the postseason. A split against Apache Junction and Notre Dame this week would likely be enough.

Queen Creek (21): The Bulldogs have an 11-3 power points record but four games left to play this week. If Queen Creek can win three it should be in good shape.

Division III
Combs (22): It’s going to be an interesting finish for the Coyotes. They will be underdogs in two of their final three games – against Poston Butte and Queen Creek – so their margin is razor thin. An upset of either of those teams would greatly help Combs.

Division IV
Tempe Prep (23): The Knights are 9-7 overall but a weak strength of schedule has them right on the bubble. The regular season finale against Arizona Lutheran is going to be tough, so a win over Salt River on Tuesday is essential.

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  • Bill Anthony says:

    Kyle,

    How do the Buffaloes go from 18 to 25 in the power ranking in a day when really no games were played? I realize that some friday games may not have been in. They went from an 8.01xx to 5.9245 with very little change to their strentgh of schedule. Seems really odd.

  • Tremaine Jenkins says:

    Also, it seems the author of the article thinks that the top 24 in each division make the playoffs. Right now teams aren’t fighting to make the top 24, they are fighting to make the top 8 of their section, so as to qualify for the sectional tournament next week. Just because you finish the week in the top 24 overall, that doesn’t necessarily mean you are a lock for the state playoffs. Sectionals will decide much of that.

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